On Weighting Predictions, Base 7 Numerology, Premonitions
of Death, Dream Visions, Using Other Calendars, and
Historical Patterns
From: Athol
To: 'mmcclellan@adelphia.net' <mmcclellan@adelphia.net>
Date: Thursday, February 10, 2000
11:15 PM
Subject: Question about weighting
Mike -
As a frequent visitor to your site, I started thinking
about your success rate. And I now have some
questions.
Do you (in your own mind) "weight" your
predictions as to belief in their accuracy? In
other words, are there some predictions of which you are
more certain than others?
And if there are, on what basis does that occur?
And, again, if you weight in your own mind the
probabilities of accuracy, what is your success rate for
those ones of which you feel sure? Is it higher in
those years where you only got an overall 55% rate?
Another question that comes to mind
is why do you split your prediction periods into calendar
years? The calendar is after all a pretty arbitrary
item. It isn't even exact as to what it is supposed
to measure, hence the need for leap days minutes and
seconds.
Would your success rate be varied if you predicted in
units of lunar months, seasons, annual periods starting
in other months etc ?
The purpose of these questions is to see if it is
possible to "refine" your accuracy to pinpoint
those areas of time (if any) where you are
"always" right or wrong.
Finally, when your book IS available, I hope it tells us
something of you. What do you do for a living, what is
your background, were you a psychic child etc etc.
Kind regards, I love your work
Athol
Ps: Could you make the
scrolling marquees a bright colour like yellow? Scrolling
red on black is quite hard to read. I find I have
to set the mouse over the text to highlight it as it is
going past to read it.
*
* * * *
Dear
Athol:
Thanks for writing again and for complimenting my work.
It has been quite a while since I last heard from you.
Before I proceed, know who I am: I am a former musician,
disk jockey, and business school graduate who became a
poet who became interested in numerology and the
prophecies of Nostradamus who became an interpreter of
Nostradamus who made a great discovery about Nostradamus
and prophecy in general and wrote a book about it who in
the meantime was having dream visions of the future that
came true and also created a number system that has
proven to be unnervingly accurate compared to other
systems of divination.
You have asked 'in other words, are
there some predictions of which [I am] more certain than
others?'
Yes, there are some predictions that I strongly believe
will happen (in my mind AND heart) and others which
simply conform to my numerology system. In other words
there are instances where I actually 'feel' something
will happen and then there are instances where I am
simply using my head and a good knowledge of history. But
that is the point of the base 7 system: history DOES
repeat itself...OFTEN... at predictable intervals of time
(7 years and multiples of 7 years). That is the PREMISE
of the base 7 system and I am PROVING it (I hope).
Before continuing, I must re-iterate the most classic
example of my personal belief in a prediction I
made. I realise I have discussed this before, but
somehow I feel I have not yet made an adequete
impression.
I BELIEVED that Princess Diana was
in danger of losing her life in August 1997. It was more
than a Nostradamus quatrain and the number system I was
and am still using that prompted this belief. When
I saw her on television comforting Elton John at Gianni
Versace's funeral in Milan, she stopped and simply sat. I
looked into her eyes and I truly felt I had made
'contact' with her. It was a very intense experience. The
blood came to my face. And then I felt a terrible,
gut-wrenching feeling of tremendous grief. I just knew
she would be next. I thought that I was going crazy. I
did not wish to believe what I had experienced. And six
weeks later she was dead.
I suppose some 'pop' psychologist could explain all of
this and everything I have done on my web site. The
number of cynics and 'reality-entrenched' sceptics is
legion.
I believe, in theory, that if there
had been a quick and easy way to communicate with Diana
that she might not have died. In 1997, I was really quite
ignorant about how to go about doing such a thing. So
much so, that I never even THOUGHT about doing it. Why?
Because most (not all) of us are raised from birth
believing that we cannot make a difference...that we are
just cogs in a wheel. We do not dare to even think of
such things. This is reinforced by a public consensus
that anyone who tries to warn a famous or influential
person that they are in some type of danger is a 'flake'
or possibly dangerous themselves. The PC and the Internet
(I could not afford a PC until June 1998 or an Internet
service until February 1999) now makes it possible for
'flakes' such as myself to at least air our views. Still,
the night she died, I was not only grief-striken but
guilt-ridden for knowing what I 'knew' and 'letting it
happen.'
Obviously I was more certain of that prediction than I
was of others that I made for 1997.
I cannot tell you on what basis these predictions I am
certain of occur.
First of all, the base 7 system I CREATED is still an
experiment-in-progress. The experiment began in January
1996. It did not exist before that. I am still
learning. I am still making new discoveries about how and
why it operates the way it does. The most recent
discovery I have made is that we have been repeating an
early-to-middle 1960s/late 1970s curve along with at
least one major feature from seven years before. I
suspect I will have to complete at least one cycle of
seven years before I will know 'everything.' That will
not occur until the year 2002 or 2003 runs its course.
Secondly, there is the issue of my actual prophetic
abilities. True visions, not calculations via numerology,
usually only happen to me in dreams or in that strange
realm between sleep and consciousness. The waking
premonition of Diana's death was one exception. A few
other exceptions (which I suspect may shock many) I will
reveal in good time on my web site. Although I have
presented some of my dream visions in DREAM WINDOWS on my
web site, these are visions that have yet to come to
pass. (I have also presented one by Jennie B. and will be
creating a special window for Conor soon).
If you have truly perused the email forums you know some
of the visions I have written of having had in dreams
that have been fulfilled. Some of these were rather
mundane; but nevertheless, came true. But I will
reiterate the more earthshaking ones (along with some I
did not mention):
1) The three-day failed Soviet coup
of August 1991.
2) The election of Bill Clinton and Al Gore in November
1992 and the attempted assassination of George Bush in
Kuwait in May 1993 (however, in the dream the
assassination appeared to be successful). Clinton
reassuring everyone that everything was all right and
that something would be done (something was done in July:
he launched a cruise missile attack against Baghdad).
3) I had two horrendous migraine headaches in 1995. In
January, I spent much of the time lying in bed, moving in
and out of sleep, experiencing disturbing and chaotic
nightmares I could make no sense of. When I awoke my
headache was finally subsiding. I turned on the televison
and learned that the Kobe Earthquake had just happened.
In April, this happened again. Several hours later I
turned on the news and reports of the Olklahoma City
Bombing were just filtering in.
4) The rash of Hamas bombings that plagued Israel in
February and March 1996. The third suicide bombing I
actually dreamt as it was happening! When I turned on the
television I saw the exact same thing being reported that
I had seen in my dream!
5) The beginning of a series of crises first instigated
by Iraq in October 1997 leading to the ongoing 'secret'
war being waged in northern and southern Iraq by the US
and Britain after Operation Desert Fox was launched in
December 1998. And this is not the end of it!
I have repeatedly had dreams since 1995 about Russia
reverting to communism or evolving into a totalitarian
nightmare. I see black plumes of smoke arising from
brilliant white fire on the water of the Persian Gulf.
Great naval vessels destroyed. I see female news anchors
with colour maps of Turkey and Iraq in the background.
Turkey and Iran. I see black Russian nuclear subs moving
through the waters of the Atlantic, moving towards the
United States. I have seen and heard nuclear ultimatums
being issued by Russia and China. I have seen people
running wildly about while plumes of smoke and fire are
visible in the distance. Russian faces on monitors,
talking, trying to help, trying to tell people where the
'loose' missiles are going to strike. I feel a sense of
restrained panic, an odd sense of de ja vu, everytime I
dream these images (as though I have already seen it on
television). They come and go in waves. The water, the
smoke, the fire, the fear.
They start as a crisis that is resolved. Then another a
few months later, worse than the one before. On again,
off again. Until finally there are conflicts that induce
worry. Some of these look like last year's war in
Yugoslavia, the aerial offensive against Grozny, the
current Israeli war in Lebanon. Even these go away,
return worse than before, go away again, return, each
time more worrisome, more frightening, more widespread.
Until we are witnessing wars like we have never seen. I
keep having these dreams and they are growing stronger
with the passing of each year.
Whatever is prompting me to have these visions is also
sometimes causing me to recognise what is most
significant in my base 7 applications. I know this all
sounds complicated. It IS complicated.
I have never had a year where my accuracy rate is only
55% (but there is always a first time). However,
early last year, I did 'mock runs' of past years before
1996 to see if I could figure out what my accuracy rate
would have been if I had applied my current methods.
I concluded, for example, that I would have predicted ONE
US air strike on Baghdad occurring in April or May 1993
(there were TWO such strikes: in January and in July).
However, I would have also predicted a nuclear power
plant crisis somewhere in the US or Russia occurring
in March or April. That would have been wrong:
however, there was a crisis in Moscow in October in the
form of an attempted revolution and threat of civil
war. I would have predicted Nato and the US first
becoming involved in Bosnia in May 1994 (they actually
did so in February) and not bringing an end to the war
until August/September 1995 (that would have been right
on the money). However, I would have also predicted a
major war breaking out in September 1994 between Iraq and
a neighbouring country like Turkey that would have gone
on for nearly a decade. That would have been wrong:
however, Saddam did move his military to the Kuwaiti
border in September in what was to have been a second
invasion. Clinton sent US forces into the region so
quickly that Saddam backed off and withdrew his forces
back to Baghdad.
However, in the end, I believe I determined that had I
used base 7 (as I understood the system in early 1999)
that my accuracy rate for 1993 would have been barely
better than 55%, about 59% for 1994, and about 69% for
1995 (same as 1996). So, I will be watching 2000 and 2001
with keen interest since it is now seven years later. I
wouldn't be surprised if my accuracy rate dips -- then
again, I know more about how to apply the system than I
did a year ago. So I may maintain the same level as last
year, a little lower, or possibly higher. I do believe
that if the worst does happen, there will be a
spectacular increase in my accuracy rate around the
autumn of 2001 and definitely in 2002.
I break my predictions into calendar years because:
In conventional numerology, each year is a separate
entity just like a person. The year 1998 = 9. 1999 = 1.
2000 = 2. 2001 = 3. ETC. Each basic number has peculiar
characteristics. 9 is governed by Neptune and has
mystical properties. 1 is governed by the sun and has
strong leadership qualities and is very willful. 2 is
governed by the moon and is eccentric, beautiful, but can
also be deadly. Indeed, the number 2, I have discovered,
is also governed by Death. (For one example out of many,
August 31, 1997 = 2.) The number 3 is governed by Mars
and is highly energetic, sexy, ambitious, and, at its
worst, is warlike.
When a new year begins, it really is a NEW YEAR!
Any loose ends existing from the previous year are
usually tied up very quickly or else evolve into
something much better or far worse. Some things actually
stop with the last day of the year or the first day of
the next. Yeltsin RESIGNED on December 31. So did
Gorbachev. The India Airline hijacking ended, depending
in what part of the world one lives in, on December 31 or
January 1. And as a reminder to people whose lives are in
danger during a particular calendar year, there are the
examples of Ricky Nelson and George Harrison. If I COULD
have advised Princess Diana, I would have told her to
avoid France right up to the last second of December
1997!
The ABOUT THE AUTHOR section of my book was written two
years ago when Llewellyn Worldwide was making all sorts
of optimistic clucking about a possible contract. The
only thing I will need to add to it is that I have a web
site. So, yes, you will know my background
(actually I have already supplied some of it, in a
general way, in this letter at the top).
In closing, I would like to add the following:
I believe EVERYONE has the gift of prophecy to some
degree -- some people only realise it once in a great
while, others more frequently. They can be 'gut
feelings,' conscious premonitions, revelations while in
an altered state, and also what I call dream visions
(which, I suppose, is also occurring in an altered state
when you think of it). Prophets should not consider
themselves as part of some sort of elite secret society.
God dwells within us all. Therefore, we are all
prophets.
Why do prophets fail when they fail?
Because of the conflict between head and spirit. I am
reading a book by Damon Wilson entitled 'The Mammoth Book
of Nostradamus and Other Prophets.' He cites an article
by James Randi (aka the magician 'the Amazing Randi') who
criticises the late Jeane Dixon for predicting the
assassination of a Democrat who would be elected to the
White House in 1960 in his first term on the one hand,
and then predicting that Nixon would win the election a
few years later.
However (and Randi does not address this), after the
election, Dixon became increasingly more fearful for
Kennedy and was heard to blurt out before friends in
public places that he would die and that she could feel
the shadows drawing near. It took over eight years for
her original vision to come to pass. By the time just
before the assassination, she was actually dreaming
nightly of the shooting.
My read is that 'first impressions' are usually the
correct ones and are often psychic in nature. The problem
is the prophet also has a brain. When the reasoning
process is allowed to take over, many accurate
predictions are either contradicted or transformed into
failures.
On the font colours: I used numerology and other
considerations to determine what colours to use. Purple
is the colour of the mystic (which Nostradamus was). It
is also a colour associated with mourning and
royalty. Blue is associated with the land of Persia
and is used when dealing with Iraq, Iran, Pakistan,
Afghanistan, etc. In numerology it is also associated
with the new and experimental. Yellow is for the desert
sands of the Middle East. Green is for some spring
predictions. A muddy red colour is for natural
disasters. Grey is for the evil of terrorism and
for extremely dire man-made catastrophes |