China-North Korea Emergency
Info Window
 |
One dark early morning in 2010. 3:30
AM (EST) ...Is this
what Americans will suddenly see on their television
screens -- frantic reporters and anchor people hastily
preparing to inform the viewing public that the
unthinkable has happened?
NEWSFLASH:
THE LAUNCHING OF TWENTY LAND-BASED CHINESE CSS-4
LONG-RANGE MISSILES, EACH ARMED WITH
TWELVE FIVE-MEGATON NUCLEAR WARHEADS,
HAS BEEN DETECTED BY NORAD. DESTINATION: THE UNITED
STATES MAINLAND. SPECIFIC CITIES TARGETED: UNKNOWN. IN
ADDITION, TWO NUCLEAR SUBMARINES OF
UNKNOWN ORIGIN HAVE BEEN SPOTTED NINETY MILES OFF THE
COAST OF NEW YORK CITY. US SUBMARINES ARE PREPARING TO
ENGAGE ...
|
Very
soon, due to a new change in the strategic balance and recent
international developments, the above nightmare scenerio may take
place.
BACKGROUND: TAIWAN RE-UNIFICATION OR DEATH
The
earliest foundation of the worsening crisis between China and the
United States began over nine years ago on March 18, 2000, with
the election of pro-independence candidate Cheng Shui-bian.
Although Beijing announced that it would take a "wait and
see" attitude, it has since been made abundantly clear that
the rulers of this communist military dictatorship will settle
for nothing less than re-unification between Taiwan and China --
at any price.
This
alone would tend to make armed conflict between the two great
nuclear powers of the Pacific seem to be INEVITABLE. The infamous
"white paper" irrevocably re-defined cross-Straits
policy. Linkage was made regarding the United States of America:
if Washington defended Taiwan against a Chinese invasion, nuclear
missiles would be fired against the US
mainland. Both President Hu Jintao and Prime Minister Wen Jiabao continue the
policies of former president Jiang Zemin who placed his
reputation and "honour" on the line by promising this
form of military action if the island pursues independence.
Here
is the initial news report of the "white paper":
February
21, 2000 -- 'WHITE PAPER' WAR POLICY (Reuters and AP) --
China will be forced to use "drastic measures, including
military force" if Taiwan indefinitely delays
negotiations aimed at reuniting with the mainland, declared a
policy "white paper" issued by the State Council,
China's cabinet. NBC's Eric Baculinao reported from Beijing
that the policy represented a dramatic lowering of the
threshold for armed conflict across the Taiwan Strait, which
also means raising the risk of a confrontation or war between
the United States and China. The new policy also represents a
stunning and dangerous revision of China's long-standing
preconditions for initiating military attacks on Taiwan.
Previously, China's position was to resort to force only in
the event of foreign intervention or outright declaration of
independence by Taiwan. Taiwan's continued refusal to talk is
now also a cause of possible military action.
Underscoring
the threat of force, the Hong Kong media, which is widely
followed in Taiwan, reported over the weekend that Chinese
President Jiang Zemin was in southern China touring military
bases that would contribute to any invasion force of the
island. The tactics ominously echoed Taiwan's last
presidential election four years ago. Then, China tested
missiles near the island to dampen independence sentiment,
and the United States sent in warships to bolster Taiwan,
once a close Cold War ally, raising tensions in the area to
their highest in more than 30 years. Beijing's policy paper
included a warning to the United States, calling on
Washington to scale back arms sales to Taiwan and "not
to stand in the way of the reunification of China."
Taiwan bought 150 F-16 jet fighters from the United States
and 60 Mirage fighters from France in the 1990s, enraging
Beijing. China has warned the United States against including
Taiwan in a proposed Theater Missile Defense system.
The
following report from the Washington Times
dated March 1, 2000, also leaves no doubt that Beijing has the
will and the means to carry out the unthinkable: a nuclear attack
against the United States:
March
1, 2000 -- BEIJING (Washington Times) -- BEIJING THREATENS
NUCLEAR MISSILE STRIKES AGAINST UNITED STATES -- China
stepped up its war of words over Taiwan yesterday, bluntly
threatening to fire long-range nuclear missiles at the United
States if it defends the island. The warning, published in
the official People's Liberation Army newspaper, comes as a
U.S. aircraft carrier and two cruise-missile destroyers
recently began exercises off Japan. Defense officials said
the warships could be sent to the Taiwan Strait in a crisis.
The
official military newspaper, Liberation Army Daily, stated in
a commentary made public in Beijing that U.S. intervention in
a conflict between China and Taiwan would result in
"serious damage" to U.S. security interests in
Asia. The military then warned that China could resort to
long-range missile attacks on the United States during a
regional conflict. "China is neither Iraq nor Yugoslavia
but a very special country," the newspaper stated. While
China is a permanent member of the Security Council of the
United Nations, "on the other hand, it is a country that
has certain abilities of launching strategic counterattack
and the capacity of launching a long-distance strike,"
the article said. China's nuclear arsenal currently includes
about 24 CSS-4 long-range missiles that are capable of
hitting most of the United States with warheads of up to 5
megatons -- the equivalent of 5 million tons of TNT. It is
building two other road-mobile ICBMs and a new class of
strategic missile submarines.
Chinese
leaders can continue wearing their poker faces, but we now know
what they have considered and that they are preparing for the
unthinkable: nuclear war.
So the question
one now must ask is: will these dire events take place? ... and
if so, when?
RECENT
DEVELOPMENTS:
Several events
have taken place since the 911 terrorist attack in 2001 on the
United States that make armed and nuclear conflict with China
more likely in the coming years.
- China's
long-standing alliance with Pakistan. Since 1992,
Pakistan has been receiving nuclear and offensive missile
technology from Beijing. Former Pakistani President
Pervez Musharaff visited with top Chinese officials who
guaranteed their military support in the event of a major
war between Pakistan and India. Despite the support
provided to the US by Musharaff, allowing Pakistan to be
used as a US base of operations in the military offensive
against the Taliban and Al Qaeda in Afghanistan, there is
no question that the US will side with India with
hundreds of thousands of Chinese troops amassing on her
northern border, ready to ally with Islamabad. This is
the "back door" route to nuclear war between
the US and China.
- The
"axis of evil" speech. Former US President
George Bush made it abundantly clear that Iran and North
Korea were likely to be the next nations America would
attack after securing Iraq, a mission that is still in
progress after over six years of occupation. China has
condemned the inclusion of North Korea in the "evil
axis" and reminded the world that Pyongyang is a
long-time ally. An attack on North Korea will mean war
with China, just as it did during the Korean War of
1950-53. Also, in all likelihood, the nations of Iran and
North Korea will probably not quietly wait "their
turn" for an American attack as recent events in
both countries seem to indicate. Both countries will
eventually make a move: Iran in the Persian Gulf, North
Korea against South Korea, Japan, and US ships in the
Pacific. North Korea also has a fledgling nuclear
capability it is currently showing off that,
nevertheless, could be used against US territory,
including air bases, adding to China's arsenal.
- The
strategic balance has now changed and research and
development are escalating. In early February 2002 the
Chinese launched a Dongfeng-31 ICBM, which has a range of
more than 5,000 miles. It was armed with twelve dummy
warheads which successfully seperated during the
missile's disintegration in the first half of its
trajectory. Naval versions of the missiles are being
developed. There has been much talk in the last few years
as to whether China really had the ability to MIRV its
missiles like the Russians. It has now accomplished this,
ending any further speculation. What is more, it will
have outfitted at least 20 CSS-4 (DF-5) ICBMS that have a
reach of 8,000 miles with twelve nuclear warheads per
missile by the end of 2002. That's 224 nuclear warheads,
each capable of destroying a large city, raining down on
the mainland United States. And Beijing is hurrying as
fast as it can to achieve this. For more on this
development, read this article.
STRATEGIC
INFORMATION:
- Continuance
of William Jefferson Clinton's policy of "economic
appeasement" by the Barack Obama administration will
not stop what will happen. Germany and Britain were each
others most important trading partners during the 1930s.
Still, when it suited Hitler, Poland was invaded and
Britain and France declared war on Germany.
- China
considers the United States its unnamed "main
enemy." Its objective is to neutralise and defeat
the United States any way possible.
- The PRC
(People's Republic of China) currently has 20 CSS-4
(DF-5) long-range missiles that are capable of hitting
most of the United States. They now have the capability
of equipping these with a dozen multiple warheads of up
to 5 megatons. The anti-ballistic shield the US is
developing will only be capable of knocking out 24
incoming ICBMs equipped with single warheads. It cannot
defend against multiple warheads detaching from each
missile.
NOTE:
The following strategic information, although largely still
relevant, should be read with the successful February 2002
testing of a MIRVed Dongfeng-31 ICBM in mind. Continued testing
and development throughout the year may quickly make the
information below outdated and require new assessments.
Background on the
CSS-4 (designated as DF-5 or DF-5A by the PRC):
Deployment: Silo
Range (km): 12,000 - 15,000
Re-entry Vehicle Mass (kg): 3,000 - 3,200
Warhead Yield: 2 MT (this is at variance with other reports
indicating 5 MT yield)
Launch Preparation Time: 30-60 minutes
When the DF-5
(CSS-4) was first tested in September 1971, it had a range of
10,000 to 12,000 kms which allowed it to threaten the western
portions of the United States. Beginning in 1983 the Chinese
inaugurated the improved DF-5A, with an increase of over 13,000
km and a more accurate guidance system. The DF-5A upgrade
increased the throw-weight of the system from 3,000 kg to 3,200
kg. As with the DF-4, initially the DF-5 was stored in a
horizontal position in tunnels under high mountains, and are
launched immediately outside the mouth of the tunnel. The
missiles must be moved into the open and fueled prior to firing,
an operational mode dubbed chu men fang pao
(shooting a firecracker outside the front door), with the fueling
operation apparently requiring about two hours. The initial
deployment of a pair of DF-5s in silos in Central China was
completed in 1981. That portion of the DF-5A force that is
deployed in silos could be maintained in a ready-to-fire status.
For many years almost all
sources credited China as having only four DF-5s deployed in
silos, including the authoritative 1992 treatement by John Wilson
Lewis and Hua Di, which asserted that as of 1992 only four DF-5
missiles on alert. However, more recent estimates suggest that
some 8 to 11 were deployed as of 1995, and that at least 13
missiles were deployed at the end of 1997. According to the
National Air Intelligence Center, as of 1998 the deployed DF-5
force consisted of "fewer than 25" missiles. As of
early 1999 the total deployed DF-5 force was generally estimated
at about 20 missiles. In order to enhance the survivability of
these missiles, China has constructed a large number of decoy
silos which consist of shallow holes excavations with headworks
that resemble operational silos.
The current
force of DF-5A missiles is deployed with single warhead, but in
November 1983 China inaugurated a DF-5 modification program to
arm these ICBMs with MIRVed warheads. Technical difficulties,
however, have stalled the program. The DF-5A, able to strike
targets in the continental United States (CONUS), was the
designated recipient of the MIRVs, although there is no evidence
that they have been deployed. Some sources claim that at least
four DF-5As have already been MIRVed, though it is generally
asserted that while MIRVing may occur within the next few years
no DF-5s have yet been fitted with MIRVed warheads. Based on the
DF-5A throwweight and warhead shroud the missile could be
equipped with a six reentry vehicles with each RV weighing 600
kgs (the size of the single warhead on the DF-21). The DF-5A
second stage apparently has four vernier engines which reportedly
fire for 190 seconds after the main missile engine cuts off. Thus
the DF-5A could direct a warhead bus over a fairly large arc
covering an array of aim points. But the exact status of this
program cannot be confirmed based on open sources.
All CSS-4 info
current as of April 15, 2000
- One year
ago, there were 52 submarines in the Chinese fleet from
which some of its roughly one hundred medium-range
missiles could be launched. It was reported on February
29 that they are building up their submarine
capabilities. A recent check has shown that there are now
66.
Background on the
JuLang 2, CSS-NX-4 (designated as JuLong, JL-2 by the PRC):
Deployment: SLBM
(Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile)
Submarine Types: 092 Xia, 094 SSBN
Range (km): 7,000 - 8,000
Re-entry Vehicle Mass (kg): 700 kg
Warhead Yield: 3 or 4 MIRV @ 90 kT
1 @ 250-1000 kT
The JuLang 2
(NATO reporting name: CSS-NX-4) is the three-stage,
solid-propellant submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM)
under development since the early 1990s to replace the
first-generation JuLang 1 (CSS-N-3). The missile was scheduled to
be carried by the Type 094 (Jin class) nuclear-powered missile
submarine.
The new JL-2
SLBMs will carry either 3 or 4 MIRV (90 kT each) or a single
warhead with a yield of 250-1000 kT over a range of 8,000km.
The missile is
the sea-based variant of the DF-31 land-mobile long-range
missile. Development of these missiles was accelerated following
the successful test of their common 2m-diameter solid rocket
motor in late 1983. The missile is apparently comparable in size
and performance to the American TRIDENT C-4 long-range
multiple-warhead three-stage solid fuel missile missile that is
launched from submergedsubmarines.
The JuLang 2
SLBM is said to have a maximum range of 8,000km and is capable of
carrying 3~4 multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles
(MIRV), each with a yield of 90kt; or a single warhead of
25-~1,000kt yield. The JuLang 2 SLBM is an important step for
China towards a credible sea-based nuclear retaliation
capability.
China expected to show off
new Julong-2 SLBM at Oct. 1 parade
September 29,
2009
Beijing-controlled
media in Hong Kong report China will disclose its new
submarine-launched ballistic missile, the Julong-2, during the
October 1, 2009 National Day celebrations.
Other new
missiles expected to be shown during the military displays
include the DF-31A ICBM and DF-25 medium-range missile, and DF-11
short-range missile.
All
CSS-NX-4 info current as of September 30, 2009
Land-Attack Cruise Missiles
(LACM)
China is
developing land-attack cruise missiles (LACMs) for theatre
warfighting and strategic attack. These cruise missiles seem to
have a relatively high development priority to ensure that
Chinese forces will have greater conventional firepower.
Long-range cruise missiles probably will also be used to bolster
the viability of Chinese military deterrence. The first LACM
design produced probably will be air-launched from Chinese
bombers and should be operational in the near future. China could
develop a sea-launched version for use on either submarines or
surface combatants. Almost no hard data is available concerning
this new weapon system, though various sources have provided
fragmentary accounts.
Chinese LACM
R&D is aided by an aggressive effort to acquire foreign
cruise missile technology, particularly from Russia. China has
also stolen enabling technologies, subsystems, GPS data, and
technical data concerning cruise missile guidance systems from
the United States.
All LACM info
current as of May 1, 2000
Background on the
Type 92 Xia class submarine:
Length: 120 m
Speed: 22 knots dive
Missiles: SLBM - 12 JL-2
Torpedoes: 6 - 533 mm bow tubes
The Xia
class proto-type: HAN
The HAN class
submarine is a nuclear powered torpedo attack boat. While this
class boat greatly improved the Chinese Navy's distant defense
capabilities against enemy nuclear equipped surface forces, one
of its most significant features was that it served as a stepping
stone in the development of a Chinese nuclear powered, submarine
launched ballistic missile (SSBN) force. Such a force would
enhance Beijing's assurance of an effective retaliatory
capability, as well as strengthening her deterrent posture.
Type 92
Xia
In 1981, China
launched the Xia-class SSBN #406, derived from the Han-class SSN,
with the hull lengthened to accommodate the missile tubes. The
Type-092 became operational in 1983, though missile firings
conducted in 1984 and 1985 were unsatisfactory due to fire
control problems which were not resoloved until until 1988.
The Xia class
SSBN was initially armed with 12 JL-1 (CSS-N-3) SLBMs. A major
update of the class started in 1995 to fit the new JL-2 SLBM
system. The upgrade was completed in 1998. The JL-2 (CSS-NX-4)
SLBMs is reported to carry 3 or 4 MIRV (90kT each) or a single
250kt warhead with a range of 8,000km. Operations have been
limited and the Xia has never sailed beyond Chinese regional
waters. Despite a potential for operations in the Pacific Ocean,
capabilities would be very limited against modern Western or
Russian ASW capabilities.
Background on the
Type 93 SSN class submarine:
Missiles: LACM
Torpedoes: 6 - 533 mm bow tubes
The ONI new Type
93 SSN will be similar to Russian second generation designs such
as the Victor III. The launch of the initial unit of this class
from the Bohai Shipyard is expected sometime this year. As with
the Song SSK, the new submarine will incorporate a
hydrodynamically efficient hull form, a single shaft and a highly
skewed 7-bladed propeller. The Type 093 is expected to deploy
submerged-launch anti-ship cruise missiles, possibly a follow-on
to the C801s, as well as the project Land Attack Cruise Missile.
Background on the
Type 94 JL-20 class submarine:
Missiles:
SLBM - 16 JL-2
Torpedoes: 6 - 533 mm bow tubes
A
new design (type 094) has been planned and is expected to begin
production between 2003-2005 **. Incorporating some Russian
technology, the Type 094 is expected to be a dramatic improvement
over the sole Xia class SSBN, with improved quieting and sensor
systems, and a more reliable propulsion system. Other
improvements in sonar, propulsion, training, and the application
of quieting techniques will contribute to a significant
improvement in the capabilities of China’s submarine fleet.
There is unconfirmed speculation that as many as a dozen of these
new boats may be eventually constructed, although other estimates
suggest that 4-6 or 6-8 boats may be constructed.
** IMPORTANT
(3/13/01): PRC has now tested and developed the 094.
Click to article 3/13/01, read 'Red Subs Threaten
Taiwan and U.S.' section, and click to article 8/8/00, read last paragraph.
Plans to deploy
this class of nuclear powered SSBNs are said to have been delayed
due to problems with the nuclear reactor power plants. As of late
1999 there was an evident absence of public reports of the start
of construction of the Type 094 submarine. Several years would be
required for submarine construction, and probably an additional
year or two for shake-down trials of the submarine, and testing
of the JL-2 from the submarine. Each of the Type 094 SSBNs will
mount 16 JL-2 ballistic missiles (DF-31s) with a range of 8000
kms. When deployed, this missile will allow Chinese SSBNs to
target portions of the United States for the first time from
operating areas located near the Chinese coast. Equipped with the
JL-2 missiles, the Type 094 SSBNs would only have to patrol just
to the northeast of the Kuril Islands to hold about three-fourths
of the United States at risk.
All nuclear
submarine info current as of December 7, 1999
- By
2012, China will have a nuclear arsenal
comparable to that of Russia and the United States.
- Beijing
is working on ways to neutralise US space communications
and reconnaissance satellites.
- China
is working on a coordinated EMP (electromagnetic pulse
weapons) attack strategy that will render all
sophisticated electronic equipment useless prior to a
nuclear strike on the US.
- China
has effectively taken control of the Panama Canal -- a
shortcut to the US east coast for nuclear submarines. The
PRC is also establishing close ties with Cuba,
Venezuela, Ecuador, Paraguay,
and Brazil.
PROPHECY
TIMETABLE
Nostradamus
or Base 7 Numerology
Nostradamus
provides numerous quatrains discussing war with China. Western
China and Mongolia is the land of the "great
King of the Mongols." But his territory
also included Central Asia and Afghanistan. America
has been at war with "Ghengis Khan" in Afghanistan
since October 2001 and in Pakistan since 2008.
However, it is China
that may be the "Red Adversary" who
will put "the great [Pacific] Ocean to terror."
China may also be "the Orient"
that "will be in great fear and dread"
sometime during the administration of US President Barack Obama
or, should Obama be assassinated in 2010 or 2012, his successor
Vice President Joe Biden (who is a war hawk). Biden,
more so than Obama, could be the leader "born
from the aquatic triplicity" (the United States,
bordered by the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, and the Gulf
of Mexico) who "celebrates Thursday as his feast day"
(Thanksgiving Day is always on a Thursday) and will bring "a
tempest to the Orient."
From all of this
we can deduce only that the war will likely begin
sometime during either Obama's or Biden's administration. It is
possible that Nostradamus may be indicating that war will begin
in November
around
the time of Thanksgiving. This would likely occur during any of
the Obama-Biden administration years (2009, 2010, 2011, or 2012).
Otherwise, Nostradamus provides no other dating clues.
We can also
deduce that America will be the victor -- but at what cost?
My system of
divination, base 7, had been indicating for some time that we
would near the most dangerous period in March/April 2000.
That having passed, another vector involving both China and North
Korea presented itself in July/August 2006 ...
which safely passed us by.
However, the
next period of danger, in keeping with provocative events that
have occurred in 2009, places the US against a far more dangerous
North Korea and China in March 2010.
AS THE DRUMS OF
WAR BEGIN TO SOUND THE YOUNG MAN OF EVIL IS EXPOSED
By
Michael McClellan
June 25,
2009 (7:54 AM EDT): Afghanistan, Pakistan,
Iran, North Korea ... the beating of the
drums of war grow more deafening as next year's predicted events
of war and revolution happen, instead, now
together with some of the worst of this year's. Today we can add Iraq,
once again, to the list as 72 people die and 117 are injured in
Baghdad from a bomb blast ... the latest in a series of terrorist
attacks accompanying a US withdrawal from Iraq's major cities.
Many of you have
likely read the following quatrain before many times, yet we have
never discussed it. After all, what leader of a
nation has been young with black hair and has had the power of
Armageddon at his fingertips?
Nostradamus,
Quatrain 3.60 ~
Throughout
all Asia great conscription, also in Mysia, Lycia, and Pamphilia:
Blood flows
through absolution of a young black-haired man replete with evil.
We may be fairly
sure an Iranian leader, either a president or supreme mullah,
will fulfill Nostradamus' and Daniel's prophecies concerning a
Persian conqueror who will go to war with the West. The African
leader who is from the land of Hannibal and will lead a Libyan
fleet and cause great terror we can surmise is Moammar Gadhafi
or, if not, one of his sons. A great Arab from "Arabia
felix" (Yemen/Saudi Arabia) who will have a nuclear arsenal
at his command we may speculate is Osama bin Laden now that Al
Qaeda has announced that they will take over Pakistan's nuclear
weapons when they have defeated its government and use them
against Western European and US cities. But what
about this mysterious young man from greater Asia?
This
is very important to remember: he is the only leader in the axis
of nations and groups that will array themselves against Europe
and the United States who Nostradamus depicts as being actually
"replete with evil." Perhaps it is for
this reason that we should regard him, rather than Iran's
President Ahmadinejad, as the actual personification of the
so-called "Third Antichrist" (not to be confused with
the beast of Revelation).
North Korea has
become unrelenting in its warlike ambitions. It freely does as it
wishes, threatening war with its neighbours and against US naval
vessels, building nuclear warheads and testing long-range
missiles, launching them in the direction of US allies like Japan
and at US states such as Alaska and Hawaii, further threatening
to destroy US troops in South Korea with chemical weapons and US
mainland cities with nuclear missiles. Much worse, it
has had the financial support of Reverend Sun Myung Moon and his
Unification Church to build these terrible weapons and
Moon, in turn, has had the support of the "powers that
be" who seek to use global war as a means to depopulate the
planet and usher in a false Armageddon and a phony messiah king.
Now it
has been announced: North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il is
preparing to pass the gauntlet to his 25-year-old son, Kim Jong
Un. Kim Jong Un is already head of North Korea's spy agency and
is rumoured to also be running part of his nation's military.
"Kim's
son heads spy agency" - Straits Times, June 24, 2009
Wednesday - SEOUL (South Korea) - NORTH Korean leader Kim
Jong Il has put his youngest son in charge of the country's
spy agency in a move aimed at handing the communist regime
over to him, a news report said Tuesday ...
"Kim
Jong-un: a profile of North Korea's next leader" - The
Telegraph, 2 June 2009 - Reports in South Korea have
described him as gung-ho and determined. There have been
accounts of his fierce competitive streak when playing
basketball with his middle brother, Kim Jong-chul, who was
cruelly dismissed by his father after one lengthy drinking
session with Japan's prime minister Fujimoto, as too
"girlish" to lead. Long ago, the chef was certain
who would be the heir to the world's only Communist ruling
dynasty. "Jong-un will be his father's successor.
Everyone used to say it. He looked and acted just like
him". Obsequiously, the chef only referred to the young
Kim as "Prince". "When he shook hands with me,
he stared at me with a vicious look. I cannot forget the look
in the Prince's eyes: it's as if he was thinking: 'This guy
is a despicable Japanese'."
The
younger Kim is believed to have studied at the International
School of Berne in Guemligen, Switzerland, under a pseudonym
before returning to a military academy in Pyongyang. There
are varying reports that he can speak German, French and
English. His rise to power has been inexorable. In 2004, when
he was 20, there were reports that he and his brother were
joining their father on military inspections.
Jong
Un is said to be "ambitious" and a
"take-no-prisoners" type — again, in contrast to
his older brothers. Jong Un oversaw the handling of two female
American journalists detained in March while on a reporting trip
to the China-North Korea border. The reporters have since been
sentenced to 12 years of hard labour for illegal border crossing
and hostile acts.
As the world
slumbers, a new Hitler may truly be coming to power in North
Korea who will become dictator of Central Asia and Asia Minor
with powerful allies in China. He is "black-haired" and
likely will be "black-hearted" and "evil." He
may become the dictator of what Nostradamus calls "the great
Empire of Antichrist" which will evolve throughout the
"the Attila" (Central Asia, Mongolia, China, Korea,
Siberia, and Russia) and "Xerxes" (Iran) — also
known as "the barbarian empire." Thus,
this atheistic young dictator will find cause to be allied with
the Islamic fundamentalist groups and nations of Asia. Much of
the world may choose to ignore this young man's rise to power,
just as it did when Adolf Hitler became chancellor of Germany in
1933. Yet he may well become the personification of the third
antichrist ... and it is doubtful we will have to wait six years
for his war to begin. Indeed, his war and those of his allies may
only be months or weeks away.
Profile: Kim Jong Il and the
North Korean Threat
by Michael
McClellan
| DATELINE: January 4, 2003,
10:00 PM EST - The passing of North Korean
dictator Kim Il Sung on July 9, 1994 opened a new chapter
in the on-again, off-again crisis in the North Pacific
which began late in 1993. What information exists
concerning his shadowy only son, Kim Jong Il, should be
cause for sober thought. The evidence suggests that the
61-year-old successor to one of the most repressive and
isolated communist regimes in the world is a decadent and
dangerous psychopath. With the threat of a second Korean
War never more than another international incident away,
there is every indication that North Korea's despot is
more militant, audacious, and confrontational than his
predecessor. This excerpt from a July 10, 1994 Los
Angeles Times article by Teresa Watanabe provides us with
a disturbing view of the psychological profile of Kim
Jong Il: |
 |
TOKYO -- Kim
Jong Il, North Korea's presumed leader, is said to watch
public executions with ‘frenzied joy,’ and amuse
himself by ordering subordinates to shave their heads or
strip naked. He is suspected of masterminding ... the 1983
bombing in Burma, now Myanmar, that killed 17 South Korean
officials and a 1987 mid-air bombing of a South Korean
airliner that killed all 115 people aboard.
Despite a
nuclear freeze negotiated by former US President Jimmy Carter
with Kim Il Sung only a few weeks before Kim's death, numerous
violations and threats to abrogate the treaty have occurred.
Pyongyang finally abandoned the treaty in late December 2002,
plunging the North Pacific, the Korean Peninsula, and the United
States into the current crisis and setting the stage for a
possible regional war -- one that could turn nuclear.
On April 22,
1997, Hwang Jang Yop, a high-ranking North Korean official who
defected in early February, disclosed to the world that his
country was "capable of scorching" South Korea and
Japan with nuclear and chemical weapons. Meanwhile, U.S.
intelligence experts also confirmed that the isolated communist
nation was in the process of developing a large force of
long-range Taepo Dong ballistic missiles which will be capable of
reaching targets throughout much of Canada and all of the western
and part of the central United States by the year 2005.
Neighbouring China already possesses this capability now.
On August 31,
1998, North Korea fired a new version of the Taepo Dong I missile
with a range of 1,240 miles over Japan, sparking international
concern and outrage. The booster landed in the Sea of Japan and
the payload, capable of carrying a nuclear warhead, crashed in
the Pacific Ocean. A second test launch of a medium-range Taepo
Dong in 1999 reached the waters off Hawaii. Thus it would appear
that the 2005 missile danger to North America posed by North
Korea as projected by U.S. intelligence experts may be an
uncomfortably accurate assessment.
Kim Jong
Il’s regime presents a continuing proliferation problem as
well. On November 21, 1998, the Pentagon said North Korea was
producing and marketing short range missiles to Iran, Libya,
Syria, and Pakistan—all capable of carrying nuclear
payloads. It is well known that the North Koreans have also been
supplying nuclear technology to these countries throughout the
decade of the 1990s.
The North Korean
military has now begun to utter direct threats against the United
States as it mindlessly pushes forward with its nuclear
development program and militarisation of the DMZ like so many
army ants. Since December 1998, North Korean military leaders
have repeatedly accused the U.S. of plotting a second war in the
Korean Peninsula and warned that they are prepared to fight back.
A general staff spokesman added that "it must be clearly
known that there is no limit to the strike of our People’s
Army and that on this planet there is no room for escaping the
strike."
Since November
1993, 750,000 North Korean troops have remained amassed near
their border with the south. South Korea’s army, 670,000
strong, along with the 37,000 American forces permanently
stationed there, are no match against the north’s army of
1.1 million soldiers, mass artillery, tanks, MiG fighter jets,
and Soviet-made SCUD missiles. Most analysts agree that
Pyongyang's abandonment of the 1994 nuclear freeze accord with
the U.S. and Japan, the reported development of at least two
nuclear warheads (possibly a dozen more in the next six months),
and incursions of men and artillery in the DMZ are indications
that the regime of Kim Jong Il may be planning an
"opportunistic" invasion of South Korea when George W
Bush launches his invasion of Iraq.
Indeed, on October 22,
1997, a senior top military defector revealed what Kim is
planning: to attack American forces in South Korea and Japan.
According to the defector, Kim believes that after he has
incurred 20,000 U.S. casualties, the United States will
"roll back its troops" and he will win the war. In the
process, he has claimed, North Korea will strike Seoul, Japan,
and Alaska with missiles equipped with chemical and nuclear
warheads. With North Korea's economy in shambles and famine
rampant throughout the country, Kim feels he has little to lose
by commencing a second Korean War. And while the masses starve,
China is seeing to it that the North Korean military is receiving
large shipments of food.
According to
most U.S. military planners, a second Korean conflict would be
won by the United States and would be over in 60 days: but at an
horrendous price. Hundreds of thousands of casualties, tens of
thousands of them American, would be the inevitable result. Also,
there is the distinct possibility that North Korea might use
whatever nuclear capability it already possesses against its
North Pacific neighbors or to turn Seoul into "a sea of
fire" as it has threatened in the past. This can be
accomplished by launching medium-range missiles like the No Dong
II or Taepo Dong I which are capable of reaching Tokyo or Seoul.
Two nuclear
strikes off the coast of Tokyo, Taipei, or even Los Angeles may
be indicated in the following quatrain:
Nostradamus,
Quatrain 9.48 ~
The
great city of the maritime ocean, surrounded by a swamp of
crystal:
In the winter solstice and the spring will be tried by a dreadful
wind.
Either Red China
or North Korea could be responsible for the cataclysm implied by
the above prediction. China currently possesses 52 nuclear
submarines from which it can launch any of its roughly one
hundred medium-range missiles. China also possesses four DF-5A
long-range strategic missiles capable of striking the west coast
of the United States and is aggressively developing its first
line of CSS-4 ICBMs which will be capable of carrying multiple
nuclear warheads. A potential scenario for Quatrain 9.48 could be
one of China's DF-5As falling short of its target, striking the
ocean waters a few miles just outside Los Angeles harbor. Instead
of total immolation the city would be ravaged by radioactive
hurricane-force winds and huge, poisonous tsunamis. What is truly
frightening is that, given the threats made by Chinese officials
concerning the consequences of U.S. interference, this scenario
could have played itself out "in the spring" of March
23, 1996 had China decided to invade Taiwan.
However, if
either China or North Korea chooses the path of nuclear
terrorism, the "tempest to the Orient" by an American
president forecast by Nostradamus in the following verse may well
prove to be a nuclear firestorm:
Nostradamus,
Quatrain 1.50 ~
From
the aquatic triplicity [the United States] will be born one who
will make Thursday his feast day
[Thanksgiving]: His fame, praise, rule, and power will grow, by
land and sea, a tempest to the Orient.
Commentators
have long been divided as to the intended meaning behind the
"aquatic triplicity," viewing it as either an
astrological clue or a metaphor for the United States which is
bordered on three sides by the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean,
and the Gulf of Mexico. In late 1993, former President Clinton
warned the late Kim II Sung that an unconventional attack on any
of his neighbors would result in the total immolation of North
Korea. Nevertheless, the following quatrain suggests that
successor Kim Jong Il—or worse, China's President Hu
Jintao—may desire to carry out the unthinkable:
Nostradamus,
Quatrain 3.1 ~
After
the combat and naval battle, Great Neptune in his highest belfry:
The red adversary
will become pale with fear and put the great Ocean into terror.
Once again we
are faced with "terror" which would certainly come
"from the sky" via land-launched and sea-launched
nuclear missiles. Is it possible that Quatrain 10.72 is somehow
linked with this prophecy? If the color red in this instance is
being used to represent communism, then the ocean upon which this
red antagonist wreaks havoc must be the Pacific. The only nuclear
communist states in that part of the world currently are China
and North Korea.
This bodes ill
for the future of other nations positioned around the "great
Ocean"—including Japan, Australia, and the United
States.
But what of
Russia which also is situated on the Pacific Ocean? Let us hope
that the Sino-Russian military pact against America and her
Pacific allies is never activated.
This page will
endeavour to keep you apace of important developments and
predictions in this ongoing crisis involving China, its strategic
ally North Korea, and any other Asian or Pacific nations that
demonstrate an involvement with either (India or Pakistan, for
example).
NEWS AND ALERTS
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
North Korea
Prepping Nuclear Weapons Test -- Defense Officials Tell ABC News
'They've Put Everything in Place' - January 4, 2007.
Chinese Sub Came
Close To U.S. Ships -- Navy Commander Says Close Encounter
Could Have Triggered 'Unforeseen' Incident - November 14, 2006.
Missiles launched
from North Korea -- Reports indicate 6 rockets fired,
including long-range - July 4, 2006.
Pentagon warns over
China buildup -- Pace and scope of modernization
surprises analysts, report says - May 24, 2006.
N. Korea Suggests
It Can Strike U.S. First -- North Korea Suggests It Has Ability to
Launch a Pre-Emptive Strike on the United States - March 21,
2006.
Taiwan scraps
unification body -- Meeting draws fire from Beijing, alarm
from U.S. - February 27, 2006.
China: We'd nuke
U.S. if provoked over Taiwan -- Major general says Beijing
prepared to use WMDs against American cities - July 14, 2005.
U.S. defense and
intelligence officials voice fear 'Beijing will attack Taiwan in
the next two years' -- 'Officials say all the signs point in
one troubling direction: Beijing then will be forced to go to war
with the United States, which has vowed to defend Taiwan against
a Chinese attack' - June 26, 2005.
Rumsfeld blows
whistle on China military threat -- Defense secretary warns of
hundreds of missiles targeting Taiwan, Beijing weapons spending -
June 5, 2005.
Chinese begin to
worry U.S. military -- Officials say equation has shifted in
event of a Taiwan crisis - April 8, 2005.
Beijing lays down
law over Taiwan -- China warns military action against
Taiwan if peaceful means fail to stop move towards independence -
March 8, 2005.
7th Fleet on
mission to keep Asia stable -- United States deploys ships for
missile defense against N Korea - September 26, 2004.
US plans huge show
of force in Pacific -- Seven aircraft carriers to move within
striking distance of China; Taiwan forces slated to join in drill
- June 30, 2004.
China told to use
nukes if Taiwan hits dam -- Some parliamentary delegates call on
Beijing to retract its no-first-use pledge to deter 'terrorist
acts' like dam strike - June 19, 2004.
Russia backs N.
Korea in nuke talks -- U.S. sees sign of Moscow colluding with
communist regime - June 5, 2004.
North Korea linked
to Libya's uranium -- Nearly 2 tons of hexaflourine shipped by
'axis of evil' in 2001 went undetected - May 23, 2004.
U.S. rebukes
China's Taiwan threat -- Promises to fulfill its obligations to
aid in Taipei's defense - May 18, 2004.
U.S. confirms S.
Korea troop cut -- 'Redeployment to meet worsening Iraq
situation' - May 16, 2004.
Taiwan polls 'could
spark crisis' -- 'in the worst case leading to war
between China and the United States' - March 17, 2004.
China ups anti-Chen
crusade -- Beijing mobilizes more resources,
including military, to thwart Taiwan move towards independence -
February 18, 2004.
Taiwan rejects
Paris poll warning -- Taiwan has said it "deeply
regrets" France's opposition to a planned referendum which
has angered China - January 27, 2004.
Nuclear war danger
highest ever? U.N.'s nuclear chief cites North Korea,
Iran, underground trade - January 26, 2004.
Hawks tell Bush how
to win war on terror -- North Korea, Iran, Syria, even Saudi
Arabia and France in the crosshairs - December 31, 2003.
NEWSWEEK (Dec 22
issue): Taiwan: Rocking the Boat -- China says Chen is leading
Taiwan into danger, but the political changes afoot are bigger
than any one man - posted December 14, 2003.
China's Hu warns
Taiwan residents -- current Taiwan crisis more serious than
those in 1996 and 2000 -- possibility of some form of "armed
liberation" of Taiwan higher than at any time in recent
memory - December 9, 2003.
A Dangerous New
U.S. Policy Toward Taiwan? -- Two proposed policy changes
make a military confrontation in the Taiwan Strait more, not
less, likely - December 2, 2003.
Taiwan Poll Plan
Adds to Cross-Straits Tensions -- President Chen Shui-bian says
Chinese missiles justify independence vote - December 1, 2003.
WAR WITH CHINA MAY
BE VERY NEAR: Taiwan's leader is citing the hundreds of
missiles China has aimed at the island as justification for his
plans to use a new law that gives him the power to hold an
independence vote when threatened by China's massive military --
such a vote will trigger an immediate war, Beijing has warned -
December 1, 2003.
China renews Taiwan
threat of war -- "the day
'Taiwan independence' is promulgated is also the time when war
will be declared" - November 19, 2003.
Chinese bolster
military near N. Korea -- Beijing deploys 150,000 troops to deter
nuke ambitions - September 16, 2003.
North Korea threat
has Russia rearming -- With Kim 5 weeks from full nuke
capability, Moscow refurbishes once-vaunted naval fleet - August
5, 2003.
China Getting Ready
for Severe Blitzkrieg Against Taiwan -- "Many
experts say that the North Korean conflict is not a conflict
between Pyongyang and Washington, but a large-scale diplomatic
game between China and the USA with a view of gaining control
over the Korean Peninsula" - August 1, 2003.
Beijing launching
own 'Aegis' warships -- Military modernization continues as
challenge to U.S. hegemony - July 23, 2003.
Upping the ante for
Kim Jong Il -- Pentagon Plan 5030, a new blueprint for
facing down North Korea - July 21, 2003.
Raining death on
U.S. cities? Growing ballistic threat fuels
missile-defense research, deployment - June 30, 2003.
Kim Jong-Il MIA -
43 Days Since Last Sighted -- Absence of North Korean Leader
and 61 Commanding Military Sparks Fears of Imminent War - March
28, 2003.
China brinksmanship
behind North Korea? -- North Korea "could not be
threatening the U.S. with nuclear missiles, as it is, without at
least China's tacit support. Clearly, North Korea and China are
allies. The Chinese want Taiwan. The North Koreans want South
Korea. The only nation preventing both goals is the U.S." -
March 10, 2003.
N. Korea: Our
missiles can hit all of U.S. -- Pyongyang spokesman warns New
York, Washington and Chicago would be 'aflame' - March 8, 2003.
S. Korea Warns of
Possible 'Calamity' -- N. Korea threatens that nuclear war
could break out on the Korean Peninsula at 'any moment' - March
1, 2003.
US plans total war
against North Korea -- casualties may reach one million during
the first day of an attack - February 23, 2003.
North Korean
fighter jet sparks alert -- first incursion into South Korean
airspace since 1983 - February 20, 2003.
China expands naval
power -- Taipei alarmed, calls move a threat -
February 17, 2003.
N. Korea warns
against aggression -- 'peninsula risks a nuclear disaster and
would be reduced to ashes' - February 7, 2003.
North Korea Accuses
U.S. of Planning Attack -- North Korea Accuses United States, South
Korea of Planning Massive Joint Military Attack - January 28,
2003.
ARTICLES AND REPORTS
North Korea Vows to Fight U.S. Invasion
Tuesday,
December 31, 2002
FOXNews.com
SEOUL, South
Korea — Just hours after the last two U.N.-certified nuclear
inspectors left the country, North Korea raised the stakes in its
standoff with the United States Tuesday, stating that war was
likely but that invading American troops would be wiped out
"to the last man."
South of the
DMZ, both South Korea's president and president-elect urged
negotiations to ease the deepening crisis over Pyongyang's
resumed nuclear program, and said economic sanctions being
considered by Washington might not work.
In Moscow, North
Korea's ambassador to Russia said that the U.S. had threatened
his country "with a pre-emptive nuclear strike," the
Interfax news agency reported.
"These
conditions also make it impossible for us to abide by the
[nuclear nonproliferation] treaty," Ambassador Pak Ui Chun
said, "whose main provision bans nuclear powers from using
nuclear weapons against countries that do not have them."
Pyongyang's main
newspaper was no less strident. "The U.S. is stepping up
preparations for a war against the DPRK [Democratic People's
Republic of Korea], persistently turning aside the latter's
constructive proposal for concluding a nonaggression
treaty," said Rodong Sinmun. "If the enemy invades even
an inch of the inviolable territory of the DPRK, the people's
army and people of the DPRK will wipe out the aggressors to the
last man."
"Inevitable
is the confrontation with the imperialists as long as they do not
abandon the aggressive and predatory nature," continued the
article, as translated on the English language-section of the
North's official Korean Central News Agency Web site. "So
there is no other way than winning a victory by firmly struggling
against the imperialists without the slightest concession and
hesitation."
Meanwhile, the
international community's attempt to monitor North Korea's
nuclear ambitions ended with a whimper, as the inspectors from
the International Atomic Energy Agency, a Lebanese man and a
Chinese woman, flew into in Beijing Tuesday. "We cannot
comment on anything at this stage," the man said, mobbed by
reporters at Beijing's Capital Airport.
An IAEA
official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said one inspector
would stay on in Beijing for a few days but the other was
expected to return to IAEA headquarters in Vienna on Wednesday.
The IAEA conducts nuclear inspections on behalf of the U.N.
worldwide, including in Iraq. Pyongyang ordered the expulsion of
the two monitors on Friday.
"We were
the eyes of the world," said IAEA spokeswoman Melissa
Fleming in Vienna Tuesday. "Now we virtually have no
possibility to monitor North Korea's nuclear activities nor to
provide any assurances to the international community that they
are not producing a nuclear weapon."
Fleming said the
expulsions left the agency reliant on satellite imagery.
"It's a position this agency does not like to be in,"
she said. "We need to be on the ground at the facilities
directly, in order to be in a position to verify a given
country's nuclear declaration."
Meanwhile, U.S.
officials said they were considering using heavy economic
pressure on the communist North to give up its nuclear ambitions.
North Korea blames Washington for raising tensions over its
nuclear issue.
South Korea's
President-elect Roh Moo-hyun raised doubts about whether economic
sanctions might work. He worried they could backfire and trigger
armed conflicts on the world's last Cold War frontier. More than
two million troops are massed on both sides of the Korean border.
"I am
skeptical whether so-called 'tailored containment' reportedly
being considered by the United States is an effective means to
control or impose a surrender on North Korea," Roh told
reporters.
Roh, who begins
a five-year term in February, supports outgoing President Kim
Dae-jung's "sunshine" policy of engaging North Korea.
They believe that dialogue is the only viable way to resolve the
North's nuclear issue peacefully.m Roh requested that the United
States consult South Korea, a close ally, before formulating a
new approach in its policy toward North Korea.
"Success or
failure of a U.S. policy toward North Korea isn't too big a deal
to the American people, but it is a life-or-death matter for
South Koreans," he told reporters. "Therefore, any U.S.
move should fully consider South Korea's opinion."
The outgoing
president, Kim, stressed the importance of a strong alliance
between South Korea and the United States in dealing with the
nuclear issue, said his spokeswoman, Park Sun-sook.
"The United
States is by far the most important ally for us," the
spokesman quoted Kim as saying at a dinner meeting with Cabinet
members Monday night. He added that pressure on North Korea would
not necessarily work against reclusive North Korea. About 37,000
U.S. troops are stationed in South Korea as a deterrent against
the North.
South Korean
officials are alarmed at signs that North Korea may withdraw from
the nuclear nonproliferation treaty, a move that would
drastically escalate the nuclear crisis. On Tuesday, Fleming said
the Vienna-based nuclear agency had heard of such concerns but
that as of noon Tuesday, North Korea had not declared to the IAEA
that it was abandoning the treaty.
In recent weeks,
North Korea removed monitoring seals and cameras from its nuclear
facilities at Yongbyon that were frozen under a deal with the
United States in 1994. North Korea says that it is willing
resolve concerns over its nuclear program if the United States
signs a nonaggression treaty. Washington rules out any talks
before the North changes course.
South Korea's
Assistant Foreign Minister Lee Tae-shik plans to visit Beijing on
Thursday to solicit Chinese help. South Korea also plans to
dispatch a delegation to Russia but no date has been set.
Russia and China
are among the few countries in the world which maintain friendly
ties with North Korea. The Koreas were divided in 1945. The
1950-53 Korean War ended in an armistice agreement, not in a
peace treaty, meaning the North and South are technically still
at war.
The North Korea-Islamic alliance planned to
launch global war in autumn 1992, says author -- Alliance
planning for war again
October 30, 2002
1:00 a.m. Eastern
WorldNetDaily.com
An alliance
between North Korea, Iran, Syria and Iraq brought the world to
the brink of war in 1992, says a new book exploring U.S. policy
failures in the Middle East and the way they opened the door for
dramatic terrorism in the 21st century.
The alliance,
detailed in terror expert Yossef Bodansky's "The High Cost
of Peace," takes on special significance with recent
admissions by North Korea that it has already joined the nuclear
club. Iran, significantly, also has nuclear weapons, Bodansky
says.
"During the
spring and early summer of 1991, as the Soviet Union was wobbling
toward its demise, the anti-U.S. strategic mantle passed to an
informal grouping of rogue states – the People's Republic of
China, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea),
the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of
Iran," writes Bodansky. "All aspirant powers, they were
alarmed by the demonstration of American military might, resolve
and technological expertise in the war against Iraq. However,
with time, these regimes reached more realistic conclusions about
the lessons of the Gulf War."
These nations,
and later others, agreed on three tenets insofar as the U.S.
goes:
- Ultimately
there is no alternative to military confrontation with
the U.S. – either through terrorism, subversion,
conventional warfare or unconventional warfare;
- It is
possible, after assessing damage sustained by Iraq in the
war, to fortify and conceal vital installations against
attacks by U.S. non-nuclear weapons;
- The U.S.
would not have intervened to save Kuwait from a nuclear
Iraq. Therefore, it is imperative for all challengers to
acquire nuclear weapons to deter American intervention.
Though Iran had
fought a bloody war with its neighbor Iraq – a conflict that
killed as many as 1 million people on both sides – by 1991,
Tehran and Baghdad began to see their mutual fates were tied
together, writes Bodansky.
By the spring of
1992, with Iran's help, Iraq was not only trading with Syria for
basic consumer goods, it was also buying sophisticated weapons
systems from China and North Korea – delivered through Iran.
By July, Iran was assuming leadership of this new axis with plans
to evict the U.S. from the Persian Gulf and the Middle East on
its way to destroying Israel. War was planned for the fall –
and North Korea was to play a significant role, according to
Bodansky.
In October, Iran
deployed its two nuclear warheads on ballistic missiles. But,
after the buildup, the preparations for war fizzled out. An
internal political crisis in North Korea was the reason. Dictator
Kim Il-Sung was ill. But he was not yet ready to yield power to
his son, Kim Jong-Il. Though North Korea officials told Iranian
leaders they were still ready to go to war with the U.S. before
the U.S. elections, Tehran determined that "confidence was
lacking at the highest level."
This history
raises questions about North Korea's recent announcement that it,
too, has joined the nuclear club. Some intelligence analysts
believe the timing of that public declaration was meant to deter
or delay the imminent U.S. attack on Iraq. They say both Iraq and
Iran are on the verge of significant technological breakthroughs
that could change the balance of power in the region. And, they
say, North Korea is once again working in concert with this
anti-American alliance.
"In the
spring of 2002, Iran crossed a major operational threshold with
the successful test-firing of the Shihab-3 ballistic
missile," Bodansky writes. "Launched from the Semnan
region on May 1, the Shihab-3 achieved a range of more than 600
miles and struck its intended target – a major first. Any
lingering doubts about the actuality of the Iranian nuclear
threat were dispelled on May 24, during the Bush-Putin summit in
Moscow, in a briefing by the Russian deputy chief of the general
staff, General Yuri Baluyevsky. Addressing the significance of
the Iranian ballistic-missile program as a regional and global
threat, Baluyevsky was most explicit: 'Iran does have nuclear
weapons. Of course, these are non-strategic nuclear weapons. I
mean these are not ICBMs with a range of more than 5,500
kilometers and more.' While Iran may not be able to hit Moscow or
Washington with its nuclear-tipped missiles, it can certainly
strike Israel."
Chinese test new missile threat to
US shield
February 12,
2002
From Oliver
August in Beijing
Times Online
CHINESE
scientists are close to a breakthrough in rocket technology that
would allow Beijing to overcome President Bush’s proposed
anti-missile shield, American military analysts say.
The
People’s Liberation Army is believed to be in the final
stages of developing an intercontinental ballistic missile with
multiple warheads, matching Russian, American and British nuclear
technology. One Washington analyst said: “It looks like the
Chinese are much further (ahead) than we originally
thought.”
China’s
most advanced missiles have a range in excess of 8,000 miles,
which puts them within striking distance of the continental
United States. Chinese scientists are working on equipping these
missiles with multiple independently targeted re-entry vehicles
(Mirvs), meaning that the warhead can separate into more than a
dozen individual weapons in space.
At present China
has around 20 long-range missiles, a number that experts say
would allow the American shield to protect against the Chinese
arsenal. Washington aims to be able to guard against attacks by
rogue states employing up to 24 missiles.
If Beijing
upgraded all its missiles with multiple warheads, the analyst
said, “it could easily overwhelm the shield. That would
change the balance of power in Asia.”
US government
agencies have followed China’s pro-gress in missile
technology closely before a decision on the development of the
missile shield.
Beijing is said
to have stepped up Mirv tests in recent weeks. Earlier this month
the Japanese media reported a test flight, during which a Chinese
missile completed the first half of its trajectory before
disintegrating upon the deployment of the separate warheads.
It was a
Dongfeng-31, which has a range of more than 5,000 miles. China is
also said to be preparing for a test of the naval version. US
intelligence officials are said to have spotted preparations for
the test at a Chinese naval port.
Washington first
highlighted China’s attempt to develop Mirv technology in
1998, when it claimed that Beijing had obtained Russian SS18
missile technology.
The topic is
expected to be discussed during President Bush’s visit to
Beijing next week.
China Moves Toward War
by Charles R.
Smith (NewsMax)
Tuesday, March
13, 2001
According to
congressional sources, China is rapidly moving toward war. A
newly released congressional report predicts that China will
attack Taiwan unless the United States supplies badly needed
defense systems to the tiny island nation. "Taiwan is
virtually defenseless against the 250 missiles now deployed by
Beijing," noted Al Santoli, senior foreign policy adviser to
Rep. Dana Rohrabacher. The investigative report prepared by
Santoli was delivered to Rep. Henry Hyde, R-Ill., chairman of the
House Foreign Relations Committee. "If we do not send strong
political signals by enhancing Taiwan's defense systems, and
urging democratic cohesion in Taipei, Beijing could go for the
gusto [invade Taiwan] even before it reaches its full deployment
of 600 cross-Strait missiles by 2005," states the
congressional report.
According to the
report, Taiwan is now helpless against the growing arsenal of
advanced missiles being deployed by Beijing. The report calls
upon newly elected President Bush to supply "long-range
radar systems" and "software links" to Taiwan to
"more rapidly tie together its disparate warning and
response systems." "From Defense Minister Shi-wen Wu to
Armed Forces Chief of Staff Gen. Yao-ming Tang to IW/EW Commander
Lt. Gen Abe Lin to ship and submarine commanders in Kaoshiung,
all emphasized the need for the Aegis naval (radar) system,"
noted the report.
Clinton
Policy Destabilized Region
In 2000, the
Clinton administration refused to export the Aegis radar system
to Taiwan and withheld U.S.-made AMRAAM air defense, citing
pressure from Red China. Congressional defense experts now cite
Taiwan's lack of advanced radar and defensive missiles as
inviting Red China to attack now. "The PLA is rapidly
bringing a new generation of Russian-made fighters on line with
advanced avionics and air-to-air missiles. It is a cruel joke to
withhold U.S. AMRAAM missiles purchased by Taiwan in Hawaii until
after the PLA begins firing at them," noted the report.
"We should
have learned from Vietnam. The current nonsensical policy is
similar to Robert McNamara and his Whiz Kids in 1965. Taiwan
should receive the AMRAAMs now, to deter an attack."
Red Subs
Threaten Taiwan and U.S.
The report also
noted that Taiwan's submarine force is badly outnumbered and
outclassed by new Chinese attack subs. "The PLA navy now has
96 operational submarines, including state of the art diesel
subs, compared to the 4 submarines of the Taiwan navy. Two of
those [Taiwanese] submarines are Guppies built in 1946,"
states the congressional report. "The U.S. should sell at
least a few submarines to Taiwan, as well as provide advanced air
and surface ASW assets."
The newly
released congressional report also underscored assessments by
U.S. defense analysts about the rapid increase in the Chinese
submarine and missile forces. The Chinese navy's single ballistic
missile submarine cannot reach American targets from its home
waters. However, in January China tested its new
submarine-launched JL-2 (Great Wave) missile from underwater.
According to the
Cox report, the JL-2 was built using stolen American nuclear
secrets. The 7,000-mile-range JL-2 missile is capable of striking
three targets with lightweight nuclear warheads and can destroy
any city along the heavily populated U.S. West Coast from Chinese
home waters. U.S. intelligence sources confirmed that China is
constructing a new class of nuclear submarine to carry the JL-2
missile. Each submarine is designed to carry 16 JL-2 missiles.
The PLA Navy is expected to take delivery of the first JL-2 armed
nuclear sub in 2005.
KLUB
Cruise Missile
In addition, the
Chinese navy recently bought two advanced Russian Kilo-class
diesel attack submarines. U.S. defense sources stated they were
gravely concerned the submarines, undergoing modification in the
Russian Bol'shoy Kamen shipyard, would be equipped with a deadly
new underwater-fired missile - the 3M54 "KLUB," NATO
code-named SS-N-27. China is reported to be on the verge of
concluding a multibillion-dollar arms deal with Moscow to equip
its rapidly growing attack submarine force with the KLUB, a
long-range, airborne cruise missile reported to be similar in
performance and range to the U.S. Tomahawk. "The Chinese are
reported to be interested in the KLUB, but no reports of a sale
just yet," stated Richard Fisher, a senior fellow at the
Jamestown Foundation.
The KLUB
"comes in two versions. One is a 300 km land attack cruise
missile similar to the Tomahawk. If the PLA purchases this
version of the KLUB, it would then have a strategic force
projection capability if placed on current or future
submarines," noted Fisher. "With this version of the
KLUB, the PLA could support Iran by attacking Western Coalition
bases in the Middle East, or by attacking India in the event of a
war with Pakistan. It also has more options to attack Taiwan and
U.S. bases in Asia in the event of conflict there," stated
Fisher.
"The second
version of the KLUB is a subsonic cruise missile with a
supersonic rocket second stage that attacks ships. Again, the
U.S. or many of its allies lack the ability to defend against
this kind of missile. For the PLA, the long range of the KLUB can
be exploited once it has its soon-to-be launched constellation of
imaging and radar satellites."
Jack Spencer, a
defense analyst and senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation,
echoed Fisher's concerns, noting that the KLUB and other Russian
missile were designed with American targets in mind. "This
anti-ship missile is very difficult to defend against and it was
developed to kill American ships," emphasized Spencer.
"The thing to remember is that the United States depends
largely on its Navy to project power around the world. So we
should find it exceedingly troubling that these anti-ship
missiles are proliferating at such a dangerous rate," noted
Spencer ...
China Deploying
over 400 Missiles Opposite Taiwan; 094 Class Submarines being
Developed - Can Launch Nuclear ICBMs Capable of Reaching Anywhere
in the United States
Taipei, Aug. 8
(CNA) Beijing has deployed more than 400 guided missiles along
the coastal provinces of Jiangsi and Fujian opposite Taiwan,
according to the 2000 National Defense Report released by the
Ministry of National Defense (MND) on Tuesday. The range of the
missiles covers the whole of Taiwan, according to the report. The
report further said that the number of missiles will increase by
over 600 by the year 2005. It pointed out that Beijing's armed
forces deployment maintains a "positive defense"
strategy combining army, navy, air force and missile units in the
seven military regions of mainland China. Beijing has been
redoubling its efforts to modernize its armed forces, the report
said, adding that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) has launched
across-the-board reforms in training, war strategy and
administration.
Affected by the
Persian Gulf War, Beijing reformed its Central Military
Commission (CMC), the country's highest military guiding body, in
1998. A General Logistics Department was established under the
direct control of the CMC to carry out the procurement, research
and administration of weapons and related equipment, the report
said. With regard to missile development, the report went on,
Beijing has been concentrating its efforts on improving the
mobility, precision and capability of its guided missiles.
Beijing has successfully developed its Dongfeng 31 ballistic
missile and is also developing new missiles with solid fuel to
replace its old missiles that use liquid fuel.
With respect to
the air force, under the technical assistance of Israel and
cooperation with Russia, the PLA Air Force has successfully
manufactured J-10 and J-11 jet fighters that will enter military
service by 2005. The combat capabilities of these jet fighters
are similar to those of US-made F-15s and F-16s. Beijing has also
purchased AA-12 air-to-air missiles to build up the combat
capability of its warplanes, and has self-developed a low-level,
all-weather bomber -- the J-7 -- as well as buying Russian-made
Su-30MKK fighter-bombers. The mainland has also successfully
developed a series of anti-aircraft missiles, including the Red
Flag-9, the SA-10, the Red Flag-7 and the SA-15, according to the
report.
With regard to
naval developments, Beijing is developing the model-093 and
model-094 nuclear-powered assault and guided missile submarines.
The O94 can be equipped with 12 to 16 intercontinental long-range
missiles that would reach all of the United States. Beijing has
also bought modern-class destroyers and K-class diesel powered
submarines from Russia, the report said.
Return
to:
Home Page
Overview and Updates Page
